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Marouane Fellaini is probably one of the hottest names in the Italian transfer market right now, as several Serie A clubs have been linked to him.

And on Monday, local website Calcio Mercato put a number on the chances that the midfielder has to move to the country: 50%.

AC Milan, Inter Milan and Roma would all be interested in taking the midfielder to Manchester United, with the Roman club slipping a little out of the race recently.

Calciomercato claim that the other 50% is the chances of the player moving to Turkey, where Besiktas, Galatasaray and Fenerbahce all want him.

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However, despite all that 50% + 50% thing, they claim that a contract renewal with Manchester United can’t be ruled out. The biggest problem is that the Red Devils only offer yearly deals for players over 30, while Fellaini wants at least two years.

So if Manchester United still have a chance against that other 100%… well, maybe Calciomercato are not very good with maths.